For investors

What are you actually buying?

Six short pieces that continue the thinking in the paper: technology risk, AI defensibility, and how much you can know before the data room opens.

A continuation of the paper you were sent. Nothing to fill in, nothing to book.

  1. 01

    Problem

    Could you rebuild it?

    Recording shortly

    The most useful question in technology diligence is not how the platform performs today. It is whether the team you are buying could rebuild it if they had to — and what the honest answer says about documentation, key-person concentration and the real cost of the next two years.

  2. 02

    Problem

    What are you actually buying?

    Recording shortly

    Revenue, roadmap and headcount are the easy part. Underneath sits an operating model, a set of dependencies and a technical debt position that rarely appears in the information memorandum. The gap between the story and the substance is where value leaks.

  3. 03

    Traps

    The AI Wrapper Trap

    Recording shortly

    A capability described as AI-native may be a thin layer over a third-party model. The tests that matter are proprietary data, workflow depth, model dependency, reproducibility and defensibility. Without them, you may be paying a multiple for something a competent team could replicate in a quarter.

  4. 04

    Aspiration

    Imagine knowing before the data room

    Recording shortly

    Most diligence starts late, when the timetable is already fixed. There is a great deal you can learn from the outside — product, hiring signals, architecture, security posture — early enough to shape the questions you ask rather than react to the answers you are given.

  5. 05

    How

    Five things I would want to know before Tech DD

    Recording shortly

    The actual sequence: thesis-linked scope, the small number of decisions the diligence must inform, the evidence each one requires, who can answer, and what you will do if the answer is bad. Take it and run it yourself.

  6. 06

    How

    How to test whether technology is genuinely differentiated

    Recording shortly

    The full method — the questions, the order to ask them in and how to read the answers. Differentiation is testable. Most of the time the test is simply whether someone else could reproduce it with the same money and the same twelve months.